For most of Florida, the rainy season has arrived, but for many, the rain, itself, hasn’t. This is about to change though.

Florida is to ramp up the rain activity, especially toward the beginning of next week. First, there will be a very weak cold front trying to travel over the start by the end of this week. It will not surprise you to know that this front will not make it all the way south. The fronts season is long gone, and this one will increase the warmth ahead of it, shifting the winds, allowing winds from the south-southwest on Friday which will bump the low and high temperatures to record levels or very close to it.

By the weekend, the front will be losing its punch, but deep tropical moisture will be approaching South Florida from the southwest. We are about 6 days out from this event, so it is hard to pinpoint the exact locations for the highest amounts. It is safe to say that showers and storms will be profound across the southern portion of Florida between Monday and early Wednesday.

The big question remains, will this deep tropical moisture expand sufficiently to cover the rest of Florida? It will depend. There seem to be several tropical waves approaching Florida, also the GFS model is signaling some infant storms emerging from the Caribbean, intensifying and moving on to the Gulf of Mexico and staying just west of Florida. But of course, this is just one model, and there are many days between now and then.

What’s certain is that Florida is about to have a pattern change and residents need to be aware. Especially with the kids and vacations, your plans could be impacted by storms and downpours. Please check back often, we have our daily tropical updates issued every morning inside our breakfast briefing and if a storm is brewing you can look for a specific article with in-depth analysis.