Home / Editor's Pick /

Tropical update: Chance for invest to develop drops

01:12 PM
August 1, 2023

Tropical update
Chance for invest to develop drops

Invest 96 has a 40 percent chance for tropical development within the next 2 days.Invest 96 has a 40 percent chance for tropical development within the next 2 days.

That pesky tropical disturbance located around 750 miles northeast of the Leeward Islands has dropped the chances for tropical development to 40 percent in the next two days.

It happens, and we often repeat it. Tropical disturbances or tropical waves really have a mind of their own (the main reason why weather models don’t usually have a good grasp on them until they have a better-defined center of circulation). Invest 96L, the same wave we have been watching for about a week already has less chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 2 days.

If you remember, our Monday’s tropical update stated that the disturbance has a 70 percent chance of developing within the next 48 hours. The chance has dropped to 40 percent as its area of dry and dusty air did more harm to it than expected. It basically tried to suffocate the storm a bit on Monday afternoon, and it left it a bit battered.

Interesting Fact: On average the E storm gets named by August 29. We are ahead of schedule.

Hazards highly depend on your locationread more

Regardless there is a fair chance that this system can still become Emily this week. The only thing against it is that late on Tuesday the system will be turning northward and will likely encounter more windshear and a front that will probably sweep the system away. Invest 96L’s development period is short before its chances for formation drop rapidly.

We will have another advisory on Wednesday morning.

Irene Sans
More on the topic
rip current
Monday, May 26, 2025

As more head to the coast

Rip currents & safety tips
Saturday, May 3, 2025

May astronomy outlook

Meteor shower and the Flower Moon
shutterstock-4th of July
Friday, July 4, 2025

249 years ago weather!

July 4, 1776 weather history
All weather news
This might also interest you
Sunday, July 6, 2025

Tropical Storm Chantal

Carolina's heavy rains, flood risk
Friday, July 4, 2025

Heavy rains, floods

Tropical Depression 3 forms near the Southeast
Tuesday, July 1, 2025

Daily briefing

Storms roll into East
All articles
Weather & Radar

www.weatherandradar.com

instagramfacebookthreadsContact uslinkList
Privacy policy | Legal info | Accessibility statement