As mentioned, Tuesday, we expected the tropical disturbance to come into an area of higher windshear and merge with a front exiting the U.S.

The chances for this tropical disturbance dropped to 10 percent on Wednesday morning. Timing on these events is everything! And the timing of the front exiting the U.S. and the position of the unorganized area of thunderstorm activity has come together to dwindle the chance for tropical storm formation.

There will be plenty of tropical moisture streaming over much of the Caribbean Islands this week and into the weekend. Luckily, weather conditions are not favorable for this moisture to become anything more organized.

For the second half of August, there will be more tropical waves emerging from Africa and we will be keeping our eyes in their long trajectory toward the west… and hopefully north-north-west. Fingers crossed for fish storms.