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    Home / Weather News /

    Could Florida see flurries? Rare Gulf-effect snow

04:34 PM
January 29, 2026

Rare Gulf-effect snow
Could Florida see flurries?

Flurries are possible Saturday night into Sunday morning along the western Florida Gulf Coast and possibly the Atlantic beaches of northeast Florida.

As arctic air invades Florida this weekend, a rare event may occur... snow! If conditions come together in just the right way, flurries may fly in the Sunshine State.

For those hoping for a snowstorm and accumulating snow in Florida, we're going to disappoint you; however, flurries are possible Saturday night into Sunday morning along the western Florida Gulf Coast and possibly the Atlantic beaches of northeast Florida.

This phenomenon is called "Gulf-effect" snow. In Florida, a “Gulf-effect” setup can occur when cold air moves over the relatively warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. For this to happen, a long fetch of northwest winds is needed to pick up moisture, along with a sufficiently large temperature difference between the warm water and the colder air above.

With Gulf water temperatures hovering in the low 60s, and air temperatures falling to near or below-freezing on Sunday morning, there may be enough of a temperature difference to create a rain/snow mix as northwest winds kick in.

Tampa

We
68
80
Th
73
85
Fr
71
87
Sa
72
84
Su
73
81
Mo
71
84
Tu
70
85
We
72
87
Th
72
86
Fr
68
83
Sa
62
78
Su
64
82
Mo
68
83
Tu
69
83
Max (°F)
Min (°F)
moreless

Any flurries that do fall will melt quickly, but it will be a unique sight. The last measurable snow in Tampa occurred on January 19, 1977, when approximately 0.2 inches fell. While flurries are not a guarantee this weekend, the cold is, and it will linger. Our 14-day trend shows the chill lingering into early next week.

Mary Mays

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