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    Home / Weather News /

    Could Florida see flurries? Rare Gulf-effect snow

04:34 PM
January 29, 2026

Rare Gulf-effect snow
Could Florida see flurries?

Flurries are possible Saturday night into Sunday morning along the western Florida Gulf Coast and possibly the Atlantic beaches of northeast Florida.

As arctic air invades Florida this weekend, a rare event may occur... snow! If conditions come together in just the right way, flurries may fly in the Sunshine State.

For those hoping for a snowstorm and accumulating snow in Florida, we're going to disappoint you; however, flurries are possible Saturday night into Sunday morning along the western Florida Gulf Coast and possibly the Atlantic beaches of northeast Florida.

This phenomenon is called "Gulf-effect" snow. In Florida, a “Gulf-effect” setup can occur when cold air moves over the relatively warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. For this to happen, a long fetch of northwest winds is needed to pick up moisture, along with a sufficiently large temperature difference between the warm water and the colder air above.

With Gulf water temperatures hovering in the low 60s, and air temperatures falling to near or below-freezing on Sunday morning, there may be enough of a temperature difference to create a rain/snow mix as northwest winds kick in.

Tampa

Su
77
92
Mo
76
93
Tu
76
90
We
76
94
Th
78
94
Fr
79
93
Sa
79
94
Su
82
96
Mo
83
95
Tu
82
96
We
82
95
Th
81
93
Fr
80
95
Sa
81
95
Max (°F)
Min (°F)
moreless

Any flurries that do fall will melt quickly, but it will be a unique sight. The last measurable snow in Tampa occurred on January 19, 1977, when approximately 0.2 inches fell. While flurries are not a guarantee this weekend, the cold is, and it will linger. Our 14-day trend shows the chill lingering into early next week.

Mary Mays
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