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    Home / Weather News /

    Could Florida see flurries? Rare Gulf-effect snow

04:34 PM
January 29, 2026

Rare Gulf-effect snow
Could Florida see flurries?

Flurries are possible Saturday night into Sunday morning along the western Florida Gulf Coast and possibly the Atlantic beaches of northeast Florida.

As arctic air invades Florida this weekend, a rare event may occur... snow! If conditions come together in just the right way, flurries may fly in the Sunshine State.

For those hoping for a snowstorm and accumulating snow in Florida, we're going to disappoint you; however, flurries are possible Saturday night into Sunday morning along the western Florida Gulf Coast and possibly the Atlantic beaches of northeast Florida.

This phenomenon is called "Gulf-effect" snow. In Florida, a “Gulf-effect” setup can occur when cold air moves over the relatively warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. For this to happen, a long fetch of northwest winds is needed to pick up moisture, along with a sufficiently large temperature difference between the warm water and the colder air above.

With Gulf water temperatures hovering in the low 60s, and air temperatures falling to near or below-freezing on Sunday morning, there may be enough of a temperature difference to create a rain/snow mix as northwest winds kick in.

Tampa

We
81
88
Th
79
82
Fr
78
86
Sa
79
85
Su
78
79
Mo
77
86
Tu
78
93
We
80
94
Th
80
94
Fr
79
94
Sa
80
95
Su
80
94
Mo
81
94
Tu
81
92
Max (°F)
Min (°F)
moreless

Any flurries that do fall will melt quickly, but it will be a unique sight. The last measurable snow in Tampa occurred on January 19, 1977, when approximately 0.2 inches fell. While flurries are not a guarantee this weekend, the cold is, and it will linger. Our 14-day trend shows the chill lingering into early next week.

Mary Mays
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