Tropical update: Quiet end to May in the tropics, next?

As the last few days of May approach, this means that the official start of hurricane season is about to start. It seems like we will remain without tropical activity until to end of the month of May and possibly for the official start of the hurricane season on June 1. Of course, this changes later. Let’s discuss it!

This time of the year is infamous for pieces of energy left over by fronts spinning up into tropical systems. For the second part of this (short) week, we will be turning our eyes to the northwestern Caribbean/Bahamas region. As there will be a front exiting the U.S. there could still be some energy left behind by this front which could try to develop into a tropical system. Although there are some models hinting at this possibility, there are still plenty of question marks about the overall weather setup with several days in between.

As far as tropical waves are concerned, there is not much to worry about. There are some, but these are traveling closer to the Intertropical Convergence Zone and are not expected to develop further over the Atlantic Basin.

We will continue to monitor the tropics closely and bring you the next update on Tuesday, May 30. Stay tuned.