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Daily briefing: Severe weather moves to the Midwest, NE flash flood

09:00 AM
July 16, 2025

Daily briefing
Severe weather moves to the Midwest, NE flash flood

The storm system that impacted the Plains on Tuesday moves a bit east and the Midwest could experience some severe storms. Plus, another round of flash floods is possible across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. All of this, along with today's tropical outlook, is included in the daily briefing, published every weekday at 5 a.m. ET.

A low-pressure system, accompanied by a cold front, will exit the northern central Plains and move into the Midwest on Wednesday. Cities like Chicago and Des Moines could experience some isolated severe storms throughout the late afternoon into the evening. An isolated risk for severe storms will be mainly focused across northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin. In this region, isolated to scattered severe storms may occur, producing damaging winds with gusts of at least 60 mph.

Line of storms moves onto the Midwest late afternoon into the evening.

Another round of heavy rains is forecast for the northeastern portion of Ohio through much of Pennsylvania. Southern New York, including New York City to a lesser extent, but still at risk, could also experience flash floods. With a south-southwesterly flow coming in over the Northeast, there could be heavy rounds of showers and thunderstorms moving across this region. The rainfall forecast ranges between 2 and 4 inches, but isolated areas may receive up to 6 inches of rain. The most worrisome situation is that some storms could produce rainfall rates of around 2 inches per hour. This is all on top of the rain the area has received in the last few days, which increases the likelihood of flooding.

Tropical Update

The low-pressure system crossed Florida, bringing heavy rainfall. The system will move away from Florida, but enter the warm Gulf of Mexico, where water temperatures are running above average. This system could officially be named Dexter by the end of the week, before making landfall, probably in Louisiana. Heavy rains are expected to impact cities like New Orleans and its surrounding areas, potentially producing flash floods.

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Our Weather & Radar meteorologist will closely monitor the weather and send you personalized alerts to your phone, keeping you informed. Please avoid flooded roads.

Irene Sans
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