Home
Weather New York
WeatherRadar
RainRadar
TemperatureRadar
WindRadar
LightningRadar
Weather News
Editor's Pick
Discover the app
Weather widget
Contact us
Apps
Career
    Home / Weather News /

    What a '1 in 1,000 year' rainfall event actually means

11:00 PM
July 11, 2023

Extreme rainfall
What a '1 in 1,000 year' event means

Extreme rain in parts of New York, Connecticut, and Vermont led to life-threatening flash flooding this week. This rainfall has been referred to as a 'once-in-a-thousand-year' event, but what does that mean?

When you hear the term 1,000-year rainfall event, it sounds like the type of event that only happens once every 1,000 years, but that's not actually the case.

It's a statistical way of describing the probability of an extreme weather event at any time in any given year. A 1,000-year event has a 1 in 1,000 or 0.1 percent chance of happening in any given year.

The amount of rainfall that would be considered a 1 in 1,000-year event varies depending on the location and the time of year. In some areas, it might be a few inches of rain, while in others it might be much more. For example, a 1 in 1,000-year rainfall event in Los Angeles might be 2 inches of rain, while in Seattle, it might be 10 inches of rain.

1,000-year rainfall events Summer of 2022

Why does it seem like these events are happening more often? It's because they are. Within a span of 5 weeks last summer, the U.S. experienced five 1,000-year rain events in the lower 48. In April of this year, Fort Lauderdale experienced the rainiest day in the city's history, with more than two feet falling in a 24-hour period. That was another 1,000-year rain event.

So why are these events becoming more frequent? Scientists have linked these intense rain events to a warming climate. A warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture. For every degree Fahrenheit the Earth warms, the atmosphere can hold nearly 4 percent more moisture. Since 1880, the global average temperature has increased by 1.9 degrees Fahrenheit. So now, when it rains, it really pours.

Weather & Radar USA editorial team
More on the topic
Hawaii's second 2026 hurricane impact. Hurricane Lowell. . . Tuesday, September 8, 2026
Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Hurricane Lowell

Hawaii's second 2026 hurricane impact
The best views of Wednesday's eclipse. Europe's sky show. . . Thursday, August 13, 2026
Solar eclipse: The sun obscured between wind turbines in Sardinia
Thursday, August 13, 2026

Europe's sky show

The best views of Wednesday's eclipse
How does fog form?. Multiple ways. . . Saturday, September 12, 2026
Saturday, September 12, 2026

Multiple ways

How does fog form?
All weather news
This might also interest you
Why do leaves change their colors?. Autumn splendor. . . Saturday, September 26, 2026
White Mountain National Forest, New Hampshire in autumn.
Saturday, September 26, 2026

Autumn splendor

Why do leaves change their colors?
Double September's rain in 72 hours. New Mexico. . . Tuesday, September 22, 2026
Tuesday, September 22, 2026

New Mexico

Double September's rain in 72 hours
High winds whip East Coast. Nor'easter spins offshore. . . Friday, September 25, 2026
Friday, September 25, 2026

Nor'easter spins offshore

High winds whip East Coast
All articles
Weather & Radar

Weather & Radar is also available on

Google Play StoreApp Store

Company

Contact us Privacy policy Legal info Accessibility statement

Services

Uploader

Socials

instagramfacebookthreadslinkList